Fantasy Review For 2017/18 Season:
To put it mildly it was not good. They barely had 2 players in the Top100 for 9-cat Value, their priced rookies struggled [if they where healthy] and they played a lot Zach Randolph for some unknown reason. The most positive thing to say about their production on the court is probably “Bogdan Bogdanovic had a decent rookie season” and he was borderline rotation player in fantasy… but at least we got the Vladfather memes out of it?
Changes in the offseason
Lost = Garrett Temple, Vince Carter
Added = Marvin Bagley III, Nemanja Bjelica, Yogi Ferrell, healthy Harry Giles
Projected Depth Chart:
|De’Aaron Fox||Buddy Hield||Bogdan Bogdanovic||Marvin Bagley III||Willie Cauley-Stein|
|Yogi Ferrell||Iman Shumpert||Nemanja Bjelica||Skal Labissiere||Harry Giles|
|Frank Mason||Ben McLemore||Justin Jackson||Zach Randolph||Kosta Koufos|
Positional Battles: None?
It’s surprising how few serious options they have for the starting lineup [at least in October/November]. Don’t get me wrong, I’m sure there will be many spot starts for projected reserves [especially in 2019] and they may even pretend for a while Justin Jackson is a starting caliber player but in my opinion their current roster has only one logical way to start games… which is really a sad thing to say considering they don’t even have their own draft pick this year.
Fantasy Relevant in leagues with 12- to 15-teams:
43,5 FG%, 86,5 FT%, 2,36 3PM, 13,76 PTS, 3,85 REB, 1,95 AST, 1,09 STL, 0,24 BL, 1,58 TO
I have no clue why he played only around 25 minutes per game last year because it was a really promising season. He shot really well, he improved in many ways and it turned out it was better to have Buddy Hield than DeMarcus Cousins?
Keep in mind I would expect a far bigger jump in his stats/value with the assumption “he will play over 30 minutes per game” but it’s tough to project it when last year nobody in Sacramento did and they will be terrible with a lot of blowout losses.
51,2 FG%, 63,9 FT%, 0,03 3PM, 11,53 PTS, 6,17 REB, 1,55 AST, 1,03 STL, 0,85 BL, 1,33 TO
As a projected starting center heading into last year the expectations were pretty high for his fantasy value but despite his solid defense he disappointed. Mostly because his minutes per game were on the lower-end of possible outcomes and his shooting percentages fell down sharply. While expanded role correlates with decline in FG% what the hell happened with FT%? He took a significant step back and those lost 4-5% cost him like a round or two in 9-cat value. I assume it was a fluke but this year he will face a tougher competition for minutes from Kings’ multiple young bigs so he will probably remain around Top100. Though I wonder, do Kings have him in their long-term plans and if they don’t want to pay him would he be better utilized with another team?
43,2 FG%, 83,9 FT%, 1,88 3PM, 12,89 PTS, 2,74 REB, 3,24 AST, 0,92 STL, 0,18 BL, 1,59 TO
His rookie season was only decent in absolute terms and it probably surprised everybody who don’t follow other basketball leagues in any way but his stats were almost a copy of what he did in 2016/17 with Fenerbahce in EuroLeague [including some adjustments for the level of competition]. Though keep in mind he’s already 26 years old so he has way less upside than your typical rookie and the most probable way for his improved fantasy value is simply more playing time [which should happen this year].
P.S. It had to be some kind of record how often he was confused with Bojan Bogdanovic, right?
I don’t think they are close to being relevant in 9-cat fantasy but I’ve included they because of high expectations and high projected minutes.
47,5 FG%, 63,5 FT%, 0,47 3PM, 13,77 PTS, 7,82 REB, 1,15 AST, 0,57 STL, 0,57 BL, 2,22 TO
Based on NCAA stats his profile of categories has simply too many holes in it and too few strengths. What’s worse from the second group only rebounds for sure will translate well but points and FG% are not a lock against way more bigger and athletic competition. It means he will occasionally get some nice double-doubles but with so many weak supporting stats it’s really tough to reach the Top150. Though he’s more of a target in leagues with fantasy points scoring.
42,3 FG%, 73,6 FT%, 0,78 3PM, 14,04 PTS, 2,88 REB, 5,25 AST, 1,14 STL, 0,25 BL, 2,69 TO
Fox is a classic example why point of reference matters that much. Even if we assume he improves in every category and jumps over almost hundred players in fantasy value, his rookie season was so bad it won’t be enough to join the Top150 because last year he ranked outside of the Top300 in 9-cat. So he will need massive improvements just to reach the level of rotation player in a typical fantasy format. He’s another guy who is more of a target in leagues with fantasy points scoring.
Could be useful with trades/injuries [or in deeper leagues than 15 teams]:
Nemanja Bjelica, Skal Labissiere, Kosta Koufos, Harry Giles
Just don’t bother with:
Zach Randolph, Yogi Ferrell, Iman Shumpert, Ben McLemore, Justin Jackson
Don’t forget to check the rest of the Sacramento Kings fantasy basketball projections..